Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.814890 1.894990 1.977430 2.068803 2.167454 2.270994 2.388187
2025-12-21 1.685691 1.799779 1.921728 2.062477 2.221338 2.396160 2.604590
2025-12-28 1.602568 1.743208 1.898435 2.084048 2.302103 2.552924 2.867464
2026-01-04 1.501461 1.656865 1.832736 2.049071 2.311727 2.625412 3.036668
2026-01-11 1.439314 1.609397 1.806403 2.055334 2.367390 2.754323 3.285484
2026-01-18 1.394283 1.577905 1.795185 2.076738 2.440699 2.909017 3.582840
2026-01-25 1.337618 1.528241 1.757681 2.061130 2.463505 2.997801 3.798944
2026-02-01 1.278887 1.472406 1.708581 2.026248 2.456565 3.043584 3.956419
2026-02-08 1.210884 1.401619 1.636672 1.956642 2.396791 3.009199 3.987872
2026-02-15 1.164951 1.356420 1.594925 1.923950 2.384458 3.039834 4.121129
2026-02-22 1.131641 1.325647 1.570008 1.911838 2.399112 3.109642 4.323918
2026-03-01 1.097328 1.292068 1.539677 1.890218 2.397933 3.154352 4.488924
2026-03-08 1.051423 1.243923 1.490844 1.844361 2.364190 3.154875 4.594481
2026-03-15 1.026881 1.222959 1.477576 1.847940 2.404455 3.276889 4.942024
2026-03-22 1.011007 1.212769 1.478317 1.871433 2.476732 3.459297 5.443617
2026-03-29 0.979086 1.179875 1.446423 1.845530 2.469960 3.507490 5.686394
2026-04-05 0.960456 1.164153 1.437529 1.852866 2.516331 3.653284 6.172321
2026-04-12 0.946907 1.154718 1.436839 1.872160 2.583337 3.844390 6.816241
2026-04-19 0.924420 1.132109 1.416356 1.859825 2.596153 3.935078 7.243258
2026-04-26 0.898296 1.103588 1.386249 1.830897 2.578272 3.963778 7.517461
2026-05-03 0.864757 1.063802 1.338562 1.772304 2.505183 3.875216 7.447681
2026-05-10 0.842000 1.038548 1.311238 1.744736 2.484942 3.892242 7.688617
2026-05-17 0.825442 1.021538 1.295353 1.734549 2.494702 3.972149 8.143704